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S&P500 (ES) Tries Forming 3rd Straight Weekly Doji Near 2023 High

S&P500 (ES) Tries Forming 3rd Straight Weekly Doji Near 2023 High

Posted April 21, 2023
Darren Chu
Tradable Patterns

S&P500 (ES) Tries Forming 3rd Straight Weekly Doji Near 2023 High

The S&P500 (ES) is consolidating after forming a fresh April high (Tuesday), beginning to struggle as it slips back beneath the 50% Fib retrace of the slide from the January 2022 high to October 2022 low.  Nevertheless, any regaining of the 2023 high formed February before month end will dramatically increase odds of testing the August high by May sometime.  With a 3rd straight weekly Doji near downtrend resistance (on the weekly chart), ES now appears roughly equally likely to test the August high by May sometime as it is to slide back to the psychologically key 4k whole figure level.  Watch for volatility today 945am EST with the US flash manufacturing and services PMI.  Congratulations to paying subscribers who benefited from the Oct 18, 2022 analysis highlighting the early stages of a month plus Dead Cat Bounce, or from the February 18, 2020 analysis one day before the record high in the ES, warning of the pending slide in the S&P500.  The weekly RSI, Stochastics and MACD are rallying or consolidating recent gains, weighed by the tiring daily MACD.  I am going to stay on the sidelines for now, waiting for an exhaustion in the rally since the October low before going short.  Click here for analysis on NASDAQ100, NATURAL GAS

The S&P500 (ES) is consolidating after forming a fresh April high (Tuesday), beginning to struggle as it slips back beneath the 50% Fib retrace of the slide from the January 2022 high to October 2022 low (as can be seen more easily on a weekly chart on tradingview.com).

Source: Interactive Brokers TWS

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