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Job Market Cools In April: Payrolls Miss Forecasts, Wages Rise Less Than Expected 

Posted May 3, 2024 at 9:45 am
Piero Cingari
Benzinga

ZINGER KEY POINTS

  • April U.S. job growth missed expectations: Nonfarm payrolls increased by 175,000, falling short of the expected 238,000.
  • Average hourly earnings dipped to 3.9% from 4.1% year-over-year, while the unemployment ticked unexpectedly up to 3.9%.

Editor’s note: This story has been updated with additional details.

The April performance of the U.S. labor market missed expectations, providing some evidence of cooling economic momentum and potentially leaving the door open for interest rate reductions later this year.

U.S. employers added 175,000 nonfarm payrolls in April, marking a reduction from the upwardly revised 315,000 reading in March and missing the expected 238,000, the Bureau of Labor Statistics said Friday.

April Jobs Report: Key Highlights

  • Nonfarm payrolls increased by 175,000 on the month, marking a slowdown from March’s 315,000 and falling short of economists’ expectations for a 238,000 increase.
  • The unemployment rate went from 3.8% to 3.9%, more than the expected 3.8%.
  • Average hourly earnings edged down from 4.1% to 3.9% compared to April 2023, falling more than the expected dip to 4%.
  • On a monthly basis, hourly earnings advanced at a 0.2% pace, decelerating from the both the previous and expected 0.3%.
MeasureApril 2024EstimateMarch 2024
Nonfarm payrolls175,000238,000315,000
(revised up from 303,000)
Unemployment rate3.9%3.8%3.8%
Wage growth (YoY)3.9%4.0%4.1%

Market Reactions

The surprisingly cooler jobs report suggests looser labor market conditions in the U.S. economy, renewing investor optimism for potential interest rate cuts later this year.

Consequently, Treasury yields dropped across the board immediately after the report, reflecting investor expectations of forthcoming rate reductions. The two-year yield, which is sensitive to policy changes, slipped from 4.86% to 4.72%.

The U.S. dollar index (DXY) declined by 0.7%.

Futures on U.S. major averages trended higher during premarket trading on Friday. Contracts on the S&P 500 were 1.1% higher at 8:46 a.m., while Nasdaq 100 futures rose 1.8%.

Following the jobs report, among mega-cap stocks, Booking Holdings Inc. saw the largest rally at 0.94%, followed by PDD Holdings Inc. at 0.52%, Airbnb Inc. and Lockheed Martin Corp. at 0.4%, and Uber Technologies Inc. at 0.39%, according to data from Benzinga Pro platform.

Mega-cap stocks declining the most after the jobs report were Novo Nordisk A/S, with a decrease of 0.57%, followed by Toronto-Dominion Bank and Merck & Co, both down 0.34%, NVIDIA Corp. down 0.3%, and PepsiCo Inc. losing 0.28%.

Originally Posted May 3, 2024 – Job Market Cools In April: Payrolls Miss Forecasts, Wages Rise Less Than Expected (UPDATED)

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