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USDCAD Testing 61.8% Fib Retrace of Oct-Nov Slide

USDCAD Testing 61.8% Fib Retrace of Oct-Nov Slide

Posted December 8, 2022
Darren Chu
Tradable Patterns

The USDCAD has bounced strongly off the November low, and is suddenly testing the 61.8% Fib retrace of the October to November slide.  For now, the USDCAD appears to want to complete the Bull Flag consolidation since the October high, and retest the 2022 high and the psychologically key 1.40 whole figure level by January sometime.  Although unlikely, any slide before year end below uptrend support (on the weekly chart) will dramatically increase the odds for a major trend reversal.  Volatility will surge Friday with the US’ core PPI and PPI, and preliminary UoM consumer sentiment.  The escalation in the Ukraine-Russia conflict deserves close monitoring.  The weekly and daily RSI, Stochastics and MACD are bottomish or rallying.  I am looking to enter long in the green zone (of the daily chart), targeting the red zone for Wednesday.  The amber/yellow zone is where I might place a stop if I was a swing trader (although in my personal account with which I seldom hold overnight I sometimes set my stops tighter).  Click here for analysis on GBPAUD, NASDAQ100

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Source: Interactive Brokers TWS

Sample of Today’s Top 3 Trades Available to Free Subscribers (published Apr 14, 2021

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