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Chart Advisor: Predicting Favorable Conditions

Posted November 10, 2023
Investopedia

By Manuel Tellechea, CMT

1/ Risk-On / Risk-Off

2/ Oil Prices Decline

3/ The Next Challenge in Sight

4/ Heading towards $1,000

Investopedia is partnering with CMT Association on this newsletter.  The contents of this newsletter are for informational and educational purposes only, however, and do not constitute investing advice. The guest authors, which may sell research to investors, and may trade or hold positions in securities mentioned herein do not represent the views of CMT Association or Investopedia. Please consult a financial advisor for investment recommendations and services.

1/ Risk-On / Risk-Off

Cross signals persist in the market. However, risk appetite remains present. It may not be as dominant as before, but it still holds a superior position.

Safe-haven assets are not currently the most sought-after in the market, with investors continuing to seek higher-risk assets to achieve greater returns.

Despite the less-than-ideal market conditions, there is still no rush towards safe-haven assets. Instead, it appears that the market is optimistic about a quarter that, on average, has proven to be favorable. Is Santa coming to town?

2/ Oil Prices Decline

The price of light crude oil is unable to maintain the $90 level and continues its descent. Following the aggressive sell-offs in the last two sessions (-4.73% and -2%), the price experienced a relatively flat session today, closing around $75.

Light crude is persistently losing strength and momentum, indicating a potential return to the $65 range in the days ahead.

3/ The Next Challenge in Sight

Speaking of risk appetite, Bitcoin appears poised to conclude another week on a positive note. With a 4.37% gain so far this week, unless there’s a significant change in Friday’s session, the cryptocurrency is set to close its fourth consecutive week in the green.

The range between $34K and $38K seems to be the upcoming zone with the highest trading activity from 2019 to the present. We might witness a period of sideways price movement around this range in the upcoming sessions.

Should BTC manage to break out of this range, it could be heading towards $48K in the next upward swing. Will it achieve this before the end of the year?

4/ Heading towards $1,000

The technology sector remains influential, with various players reaching new highs this week. Today, Fair Isaac Corporation, a company specializing in credit rating services, took the spotlight.

Following a remarkable surge, the share price temporarily stabilized after surpassing the $900 mark. After this brief pause and the formation of a base, the price has surged convincingly above resistance. Today’s session concluded with a gain of +2.37%, settling at approximately $962.

Originally posted 10th November 2023

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