Taking a break

Articles From: Briefing.com
Website: Briefing.com


Chief Market Analyst

There isn’t much to be said about the stock market this morning. It is doing very little, but to be fair, it is doing very little presumably because it has been doing so much since late October.  It needs a break — or so it would seem.

This week is as good a week as any to take a break. It is a holiday-shortened week. The market will be closed Thursday for Thanksgiving and it will close early at 1:00 p.m. ET on Friday.

Travel plans and school breaks are already underway, and will continue throughout the week, which will lead to increasingly thinner trading conditions as the attention of market participants is understandably diverted elsewhere.

Currently, the S&P 500 futures are up one point and are trading in-line with fair value, the Nasdaq 100 futures are up 12 points and are trading 0.1% above fair value, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average futures are down 10 points and are trading fractionally below fair value.

Conviction is lacking at the moment, which means the opening action should see the major indices confined to narrow trading ranges.

There just isn’t a lot of news to get the market worked up one way or another. Microsoft (MSFT) had been up close to 2.0% earlier, but is now up a more modest 0.4% in pre-market action, reacting to the news that it has hired Sam Altman to lead Microsoft’s AI team.

Mr. Altman was ousted Friday from his CEO position at OpenAI by the company’s board of directors. 

Other items in the news mix, but not really driving any meaningful movement, include the People’s Bank of China leaving its one-year and five-year loan prime rates unchanged at 3.45% and 4.20%, respectively, and Treasury Secretary Yellen saying she thinks considerable progress has been made in bringing down inflation and that a higher interest rate environment poses challenges for the budget that need to be addressed.

There will be a $16 billion 20-yr bond auction today. Results will be released at 1:00 p.m. ET. Treasuries are mixed in front of the auction. The 2-yr note yield is down one basis point to 4.89% and the 10-yr note yield is up three basis points to 4.47%.

Today’s lone economic release is the October Leading Economic Index at 10:00 a.m. ET. 

Originally Posted November 20, 2023 – Taking a break

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